Polish vs Foreign Stock Exchanges — Where to Invest in 2026?

Comparison of GPW and foreign exchanges — performance, diversification, costs, taxes. Is it worth investing only on the Polish exchange, or better to focus on global markets?

9 min czytania

Home Bias — The Polish Investor's Trap

Poles mainly invest on the GPW (Warsaw Stock Exchange). It's natural — we know Polish companies, it's easy to open an account, we don't worry about currencies. The problem is that the Polish exchange represents about 0.3% of global market capitalization. By investing exclusively on GPW, you're missing 99.7% of the global market.

This phenomenon has a name: home bias — the tendency to over-invest in the domestic market. It's one of the most common investment mistakes worldwide.

Performance — GPW vs the World

Historical Returns (10 years, to 2025)

Index Average Annual Return Currency
WIG (Poland) ~6% PLN
S&P 500 (USA) ~12% USD (~14% in PLN)
MSCI World (world) ~10% USD (~12% in PLN)
MSCI Emerging Markets ~4% USD

The Polish exchange systematically underperformed developed markets — especially the USA. This doesn't mean it will always be so, but the trend is clear.

Why Did GPW Perform Poorly?

  • Index structure: WIG is dominated by banks, energy, and state-owned companies. Lack of global tech leaders
  • Capital outflow: pension funds (OFE) were shrinking, less money flowing to GPW
  • Political risk: frequent regulatory changes, sector taxes
  • Small and medium companies: mWIG40 and sWIG80 performed better than WIG20, but liquidity is limited

Diversification — Why It's Crucial

By investing exclusively on GPW, you're exposed to:

  • Country risk: Poland's economic problems affect both GPW and your salary simultaneously
  • Sector risk: GPW is dominated by finance and energy
  • Currency risk (reverse): if PLN loses value, your foreign assets gain. But if you have everything in PLN — you lose purchasing power

Global diversification means your portfolio isn't hostage to one country, one currency, and a few sectors.

How to Invest Abroad from Poland?

ETFs on European Exchanges

Simplest way — you buy ETFs listed on Xetra, Euronext Amsterdam, or LSE through a Polish broker:

  • XTB: 0% commission (up to limit)
  • Bossa Zagranica: 0.29% commission
  • mBank DM: 0.29% commission
  • DEGIRO: low commissions

Popular ETFs:

  • VWCE — entire world (Vanguard FTSE All-World)
  • IWDA — developed countries (iShares MSCI World)
  • CSPX — S&P 500 (iShares)

ETFs on GPW

For several years, Polish ETFs have been listed on GPW:

  • Beta ETF WIG20 — Polish blue chips
  • Beta ETF S&P 500 — US exposure, listed in PLN
  • Beta ETF MSCI World — global market

Advantage: you buy in PLN on GPW, no need for foreign account. Disadvantage: higher TER and lower liquidity than originals.

Costs of Investing Abroad

Cost GPW Foreign Exchanges
Commission 0–0.39% 0–0.29%
Spread Depends on liquidity Low (large ETFs)
Currency conversion None 0.2–0.5% (PLN→EUR)
ETF TER 0.30–0.50% 0.07–0.22%
Dividend tax 19% (PL) Country-dependent + DTT

Currency conversion is an additional cost, but lower TER of foreign ETFs more than compensates for it long-term.

Taxes — Notes

Foreign Dividends

Dividends from foreign ETFs may be subject to double taxation:

  • Withholding tax at source (e.g., 15% in Ireland — headquarters of most UCITS ETFs)
  • Tax in Poland: 19%, with foreign tax credit

In practice, accumulating ETFs (e.g., VWCE, IWDA) — don't pay dividends, so there's no withholding tax problem. Profit is reinvested within the fund.

PIT-38

You settle gains from foreign ETF sales in PIT-38. Most brokers (XTB, Bossa) generate PIT-8C automatically.

Arguments for GPW

  • Simplicity: no currency conversion, Polish-language platforms
  • Company knowledge: easier to analyze companies you know
  • Growth potential: GPW is undervalued — low P/E ratios may indicate potential
  • Dividends: Polish dividend companies (PKN Orlen, PZU, Kęty) offer attractive dividend yields
  • No currency risk: you invest in PLN

Arguments for Foreign Exchanges

  • Diversification: exposure to 3,700+ companies from around the world
  • Higher historical returns: developed markets beat GPW
  • Access to tech leaders: Apple, Microsoft, NVIDIA — unavailable on GPW
  • Lower ETF costs: 0.07% vs 0.30%+
  • Currency protection: PLN weakening = increase in foreign asset value

Optimal Strategy

You don't have to choose — combine both markets:

  • 80% global ETFs (VWCE or IWDA + EMIM) — portfolio core
  • 20% GPW — Polish exposure (Beta ETF WIG20 or selected dividend companies)

This proportion provides global diversification with local accent. You can adjust it — important that GPW doesn't constitute 100%.

Summary

Criterion GPW Foreign Exchanges
Diversification Low Very high
Historical returns Moderate Higher
ETF costs Higher Lower
Simplicity High Medium
Currency risk None Yes (but also protection)

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